Continuing financial market turmoil and downbeat economic news
hit national consumer sentiment hard in the fourth quarter of 2008,
pushing down the index of consumer confidence to its lowest level since
the fourth quarter of 1990.
Sentiment about the outlook for job growth plummeted
in all regions, particularly Ontario and British Columbia. This was the
single biggest contributor to the drop in consumer confidence in the
fourth quarter.
Sentiment about layoffs over the next six months
surged in the fourth quarter of 2008, posting the largest
quarter-over-quarter increase on record. It resulted in the most
negative balance of opinion on employment since the fourth quarter of
1990.
The balance of sentiment about major purchases also
softened further in the fourth quarter of 2008, posting its most
negative result since the third quarter of 1982. A negative balance of
opinion means more households said it was a bad time to buy a big-ticket
item, such as a home or car, than said it was a good time to do so. This
indicator is an important factor underlying the housing market.
Increasingly cautious homebuyer sentiment and a less
active housing market suggest that home prices will remain under
downward pressure.
Households’ balance of sentiment
about their budgetary outlook also weakened compared to the third
quarter, but remained slightly positive. This means more households
expect their budget to improve over the next six months compared to
those that expect it to worsen.
|